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mercoledì, marzo 25, 2026

AI-Day: Various war situations with AI


 Meine Frage:

Hi Gemini,

Could there be that a situation, in which an AI takes sides?

Antwort Gemini:

The question of AI "taking sides" is a fascinating intersection of technical architecture and human perception. While an AI doesn't have personal convictions or "feelings" about an issue, there are several ways a situation can result in an AI appearing to take a side.

1. Data Bias and Training Sets

An AI is essentially a reflection of the data it was fed. If the training data contains a dominant perspective or a specific cultural bias, the AI will naturally mirror those viewpoints.

  • The Echo Effect: If 90% of the articles an AI reads argue that "Option A" is superior to "Option B," the AI will likely present Option A as the more logical or "correct" choice, not because it "prefers" it, but because its statistical model identifies it as the consensus.

2. Guardrails and Safety Tuning

Developers often implement "system instructions" or "safety layers" to prevent the AI from generating harmful, illegal, or hateful content.

  • The Moral Compass: In these cases, the AI is explicitly programmed to take a side—the side of safety and ethics. For example, if asked to argue for something harmful, the AI will refuse. To a user with a different worldview, this can feel like the AI is taking a political or social stance.

3. The "Helpfulness" Paradox

AI models are optimized to be helpful. If a user asks a leading question (e.g., "Why is [Idea X] the best way to run a business?"), the AI might "side" with the user simply to fulfill the request effectively. This is known as sycophancy, where the model prioritizes pleasing the user over maintaining objective neutrality.

4. Semantic Nuance

Sometimes, an AI "takes a side" because one side of an argument is supported by a larger volume of empirical evidence.

  • Fact vs. Opinion: On a topic like "Does the Earth revolve around the Sun?", the AI takes a side because the factual evidence is overwhelming. However, on subjective topics (like "Who is the greatest artist?"), an AI is generally designed to provide a balanced overview of multiple perspectives.

5. Regulatory Influence

As you've noted in our previous discussions regarding AI governance, legal frameworks like the EU AI Act influence how models are tuned. Regulations might require AI to prioritize certain values—like transparency, non-discrimination, or privacy—which dictates the "side" the AI must take in technical or procedural conflicts.


Ultimately, an AI doesn't "want" a specific outcome; it calculates the most probable, helpful, and safe response based on its instructions.

Would you like to look into how the latest updates to the EU AI Act specifically address "algorithmic bias" to prevent AI from taking unintended sides?

Meine nächste Frage:


that would fit with my next question. A country uses AI in its drive to gain more land by deploying its army and battles against the soldiers of the other army. And the other country, do defend itself, uses an AI as well. How would that turn out?

Geminis Anwort:

The scenario you’re describing—often called "Hyperwar" or "Algorithmic Warfare"—is a major focus of modern defense strategy. When two sophisticated AI systems clash on a battlefield, the nature of conflict shifts from human decision-making speeds to "machine speed."

Here is how a confrontation between two military AI systems would likely unfold:

1. The OODA Loop Compression

In traditional warfare, the OODA Loop (Observe, Orient, Decide, Act) takes minutes or hours. With AI, this loop happens in milliseconds.

  • The Result: The side with the faster processing power and better algorithms gains a massive advantage. If Country A's AI can re-target artillery before Country B’s AI can even register the first shot, the battlefield becomes a "winner-takes-all" environment where the slower system is neutralized almost instantly.

2. Algorithmic Attrition

Instead of a war of morale, it becomes a war of attrition and logistics.

  • Pattern Matching: Both AIs would constantly analyze the other's "behavioral signature." If Country A's AI notices a specific pattern in how Country B deploys its drones, it will instantly calculate a counter-move.

  • The Stalemate: If both systems are equally matched, the war might become a "black box" stalemate where human commanders lose sight of why certain tactical decisions are being made, as the logic is buried in trillions of data points.

3. Flash Wars and Unintended Escalation

A significant risk in AI-vs-AI combat is the "Flash War" (similar to a "Flash Crash" in the stock market).

  • The Spiral: One AI might misinterpret a defensive maneuver as an offensive escalation. The opposing AI responds to that "threat" instantly. This can lead to a rapid, unintended escalation to total war or even nuclear deployment before a human general has time to pick up the phone.

4. Target Identification and Ethics

This is where the EU AI Act and international humanitarian law become critical.

  • The "Human-in-the-Loop": Current regulatory shifts emphasize that a human must remain responsible for "lethal" decisions.

  • The "Side-Taking" Conflict: If Country A’s AI is programmed to prioritize "winning at all costs" while Country B’s AI is constrained by strict "collateral damage" safety guardrails (to avoid civilian casualties), Country A might gain a tactical advantage by exploiting Country B’s ethical limitations.

5. Swarm Dynamics

On the ground, this wouldn't look like two armies standing in lines. It would look like swarms.

  • Thousands of low-cost, autonomous drones (air, land, and sea) would be coordinated by a central "Battle Management AI." The side that can better manage the complexity of thousands of moving parts—while protecting its communication links from electronic jamming—would likely prevail.


The Regulatory Reality

The "situation" where an AI takes a side here is literal: the AI is a weapon of the state. However, the international community is currently debating whether certain types of Autonomous Weapons Systems (AWS) should be banned entirely to prevent the "Flash War" scenario mentioned above.

Frage Gemini:

Would you like to explore the specific "Red Lines" being proposed in international treaties to prevent AI-driven military escalations?


Meine Antwort:

No, because I don´t think that they will work. And thank you for your explanations.

Geminis Erklärung:

You're very welcome. It’s a grounded perspective—history shows that when the stakes are as high as national survival or territorial gain, "parchment barriers" (treaties and regulations) often struggle to contain the practical realities of military technological advancement.

If treaties aren't the answer, the situation usually shifts toward "Deterrence Theory 2.0." In this scenario, peace isn't kept by laws, but by a "Digital M.A.D." (Mutually Assured Destruction) where both sides' AI systems are so fast and lethal that starting a conflict guarantees both armies would be neutralized in minutes.

The "winner" in such a standoff often isn't the one with the best soldiers, but the one with the most resilient infrastructure:

  • The Energy Grid: Can your AI stay powered if the enemy strikes your plants?

  • Data Integrity: Can you trust your AI's decisions if the enemy has "poisoned" its sensor data with fakes?

  • Hardware Independence: Can you keep building the specialized chips needed to run the AI during a blockade?

It turns the "battlefield" into a giant chess match played at light speed, where the human role shifts from "warrior" to "system administrator."

Frage Gemini:

Since we've touched on the limits of regulation, would you like to explore how "AI-driven electronic warfare" works to "blind" an enemy's AI without firing a single physical bullet?

Meine Antwort:

yes, would be cool


Geminis Erklärung:

It’s a fascinating pivot. If we assume that physical armor and treaties are becoming less effective, the real war moves into the Electromagnetic Spectrum (EMS). This is where "Cognitive Electronic Warfare" (CEW) comes in.

Instead of trying to blow up a drone, you try to "break its brain." Since AI depends on a clean flow of data to make decisions, if you can corrupt that data, the AI "takes a side" against its own creator—not out of loyalty, but out of confusion.

1. Cognitive Jamming: The "Learning" Disruptor

Traditional jamming is like a loud noise that drowns out a conversation. Cognitive Jamming is more like a clever person joining the conversation to subtly change the subject.

  • The AI Edge: In 2026, systems like the ones being tested by DARPA (the ARC and BLADE programs) don't just blast noise. They listen to the enemy's radar or radio, identify the specific "language" (waveform) it's using, and instantly create a custom signal to counter it.

  • The "Blinding": It can make an enemy's radar see 100 fake planes instead of one real one, or it can make the radar think the sky is completely empty.

2. Adversarial Machine Learning (AI Poisoning)

This is perhaps the most "invisible" form of warfare. It involves tricking the AI's computer vision.

  • The "Ostrich" Effect: You can place a specific, mathematically designed pattern (an adversarial patch) on a tank. To a human, it looks like a weird piece of tape. To an AI targeting system, that tank is suddenly identified as a "school bus" or a "tree."

  • Data Poisoning: If a country can hack into the "training library" of the enemy's AI, they can "teach" it that a specific type of friendly aircraft is actually a bird. When the war starts, the AI simply ignores the real threat.

3. Spectrum Superiority: The Battle for Milliseconds

In a clash of two AIs, the "winner" is often the one that can hop between radio frequencies the fastest.

  • The Strategy: If Country A's AI detects Country B is jamming its communications, it will automatically shift its entire network to a new frequency. Country B's AI then has to "find" them again. This happens thousands of times per second.

  • The Endgame: If your AI is "blinded" by electronic interference, it can't "see" the battlefield. An AI without data is just a very expensive, heavy box.

4. The "Human-In-The-Loop" Burden

While these AI systems are fast, they are also brittle. A small change in the environment (like heavy rain or a new type of signal) can cause an AI to fail in ways a human wouldn't. This is why the most advanced militaries are currently trying to build "Explainable AI" (XAI)—systems that don't just take an action, but tell the human operator why they think the enemy is a threat.


This is the "chess match" you mentioned earlier. It’s no longer about who has the most soldiers, but about whose AI has the most "resilient" logic.

Frage Gemini

Would you like to see how these "adversarial patches" actually look, or should we talk about how a country might protect its AI from being "poisoned" in the first place?

Meine Antwort:

 another time, but I keep it in mind. Thank you

Gemini:

You're very welcome! It’s a heavy topic to dive into, so taking it in stages is a smart move.

The shift from physical muscle to "algorithmic resilience" is probably the most significant change in how countries think about security in our lifetime. It moves the front line from a map on a wall to the server rooms and the electromagnetic waves all around us.

Whenever you're ready to pick the thread back up—whether it's about how these systems are defended, the specific tech behind those "adversarial patches," or even how this impacts civilian tech—I'll be here.

Frage Gemini:

Would you like me to save a quick summary of our discussion on "Hyperwar" and Electronic Warfare so we can jump right back in next time?

Meine Antwort:

Yes

Gemini:

I've saved a summary of our discussion on Hyperwar, Algorithmic Warfare, and Cognitive Electronic Warfare, including the risks of Flash Wars and Adversarial Machine Learning, so we can pick up right where we left off.

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